Werewolf Killing: Please Start Your Performance Chapter 676: Don’t guess what the wolf is thinking
The latest website: [Player No. 9, please speak]
"Yes, player No. 10 admits it. No matter who is the prophet, No. 1 or No. 6, he cannot be the wolf."
"First of all, I can accept the logic and reasons why 10 voted for 6. Although I tend to think that 1 is a prophet, I don't think 10 is a charge wolf. He should be a good person who is on the wrong side. ”
"Secondly, if the 10 hole card was a wolf, he would have followed suit and hit us 9 and 11 wolves, but he didn't. Compared to others, his logic was much more normal, and he only said we were 9, 11 and 9. If there is a wolf among the 11, then the conversation will be no problem."
"Thirdly, player No. 10's definition of 8's identity is the most pertinent among so many people in the audience. Unlike some players, who either label 8 as a wolf and join the wolf trap, or directly recognize 8. Come down, this is wrong."
"Whether player No. 8 is a good person or a wolf, you must listen to what his subordinates say and see where his subordinates stand."
"Based on the above three points, I think 99% of the time he is a good guy, and I can't even tell if he is a wolf in this round."
Player No. 9 recognized Player No. 10 as soon as he opened his mouth, and then talked about three reasons to tell the good guy why he thought No. 10 was not a wolf.
Generally speaking, it is still acceptable.
In fact, no one has any objection to the fact that Pan 10 is a good person.
Like Gu Feng, he recognized 10 at the police station. Let’s put it this way, as long as 10’s chat is not particularly explosive, no matter whether he gets the right ticket or the wrong ticket, it’s basically impossible to figure out who he is. Wolf.
So, when clicking on the Wolf Pit, no one clicked on player No. 10.
9 After talking so much, a lot of so-called logic tells good people that 10 is not a wolf, which is more or less putting the cart before the horse.
You must know that this round is to identify the prophets, to show your side and position, and to point out the wolf pit. There is no need to spend so much time and energy on why 10 is a good person. .
"As for the question of whether player No. 3 is a witch, I think he is most likely a witch who took the first blow. Because everyone has come to my place and no one has jumped to the witch, it means that 3 is the witch who left."
"It can't just be a coincidence. The witch should be between 7 and 8. If that's the case, I'll pretend I didn't say anything. But before they jump to the witch, I'll just assume 3 is the witch."
"Player No. 4 took poison and did not lose the cards. There is no doubt that he is the Wolf Princess of Eclipse. Today, player No. 4 can be played first. Even if there is a mistake, he is still a commoner. When the witch opens the poison at night, he will wake up the next day. When two people die, don't we know that 3 is a wolf and 4 is a good person?"
“When a civilian is exchanged for a wolf, we don’t lose money, but gain in blood.”
After listening for a while, player No. 9 found that no one jumped with the 3 pairs of witches to get player 4. This shows that the 3 pairs of witches are most likely to be eliminated.
Unless the witch is among 7 and 8, but according to the police officer's speech, neither 7 nor 8 seems to have an identity, so 9 has subconsciously recognized the witch 3.
Of course.
If player No. 7 or No. 8 jumps later, he will definitely have to carefully consider who is the witch, but now he can only play 3 as a witch first.
If 3 is a witch, player 4 will definitely be killed. But interestingly, when 4 is a wolf, 9 still has to side with 1, which is a bit intriguing.
"I know, maybe many people think that if 4 is a wolf, then 2 must be a good person. If 1 is thrown to 2 to kill him, he can only jump."
“But I don’t think this is the case. 2 and 4 cannot be ruled out as a wolf stepping on a wolf for identity.”
"Because if 2 is a wolf, he knows that the prophet is in the late position, then he can naturally think that 1 is a prophet, and 1 is a prophet who may have tested him last night."
"In this case, 2 deliberately followed the trend and beat up the Wolf teammates, thinking that if he was investigated and killed, he could help 4 establish his identity. This possibility is entirely possible."
"Just imagine, if there are really two or four wolves, and we use this as a logical basis to take sides, wouldn't it be the opposite?"
"To be reasonable, to distinguish a prophet, you still have to listen to what 1 and 6 have to say. Other factors can only be used as reference and assistance."
“Many people say that 1’s police badge flow is not good, and even say that his police badge flow exploded, but I think you all don’t understand what 1 wants to express.”
"Why did he hit the number one police badge on 3? It wasn't because his No. 2 player followed 3 to hit 4, so he suspected that 2 and 3 might be the two wolves setting the pace. Use player No. 4 as a counter-push."
"In other words, 1 was relatively hostile to 3 at that time, but he did not dare to say that 3 was a wolf. After all, 3's speech still had a good side. When he was not sure, 1 wanted to 3 will be checked out."
"I guess he himself didn't realize that his police badge style was somewhat contradictory to his speech, but you can't say that 1 is a fierce jump just because of this, right? It's a bit too far-fetched."
Player No. 9 is trying his best to help 1 explain the problem of police badge flow, which makes Gu Feng frown.
Why would a normal good person stand by 1 even though he knew that his police badge retention was not good?
Can't this be a hot topic? Do you have to think for the better? Say this is 1's mistake?
Gu Feng felt that 9's behavior was strange, as if he was standing on the side with a purpose, and standing on the side with a purpose was either a barb or a charge.
"If no one dances with 3 pairs of witches today, then I will play 4. This is safer. If there is, I will most likely play player No. 2."
"Anyway, 2 is the one who jumps. If he gets out of the way, there will be two deaths tomorrow, which means that 3 is a wolf. I am not on the wrong side. If there are no double deaths, it means that 3 is a witch, so jump to the witch. is a wolf, and player No. 4 is also a wolf."
"Okay, that's all I'll talk about this round. I'll side with player No. 1 for the time being. The wolf pits are 2, 4, 11, and 12. If I find that I'm on the wrong side, I'll turn around. That's it, it's over."
[Player No. 8 please speak]
“Oh, it’s finally my time to speak again. Ever since I got to the police, there have been people trying to push me into the wolf pit, such as player No. 5 and player No. 7. They just want to take the lead and beat me into a wolf. ”
"In my eyes, neither 5 nor 7 are good people. I dare not say that both of them are wolves, but at least one wolf must appear. And no matter which one of them is a wolf, player No. 6 is unlikely to win. You deserve the prophet card."
"If 7 is a wolf, and 6 throws gold and water to 7, can 6 still become a prophet? 5 is a wolf, and 5 will side with 6 this round. I don't believe it if he is said to be a barb. ."
"And I don't rule out that both 5 and 7 are wolves. After all, they have the rhythm to resist pushing me."
Listening to what Player No. 8 said, Gu Feng couldn't help but shook his head.
This man always remembers bad things and not good ones. He admitted that the police officer ordered 8 to speak with a gangster face. It was normal for 8 to be hostile to him, but player No. 6 recognized 8 well.
What's the result? 8 didn't mention anything about 6 recognizing him as a good guy, and even labeled 6 as a tough jumper. Isn't this just the farmer and the snake?
"Player No. 3 must be a witch. Besides him, who else can hold the witch card? Player No. 7? If he jumps to the witch, I will play 6 or 7 double wolves, unless he can let me see the double wolf. Die."
"If 7 really jumps the witch, and both of them die tomorrow, I will kneel down and show 7 his love. If he doesn't recognize me, I will vote for myself. The question is, does 7 dare to jump the witch?"
What Player No. 8 said was quite provocative, but it made Gu Feng feel that No. 8 looked less like a wolf.
You must know that from the wolf's perspective, 3 is definitely not a witch, that is their wolf teammate, and no one jumps to the witch in the front position. In this way, 7 is very likely to be a witch.
In this case, if player No. 8 is a wolf, how dare he talk to No. 7 like this, unless he is crazy.
Based on this, 8 looks like a good person who does not care about life and death.
"Anyway, I now believe that player 3 is a witch and player 4 is a wolf, but 4 being a wolf does not mean that player 2 is a good person. The so-called 2 and 4 do not meet is simply untenable."
"I think player No. 9 just had a good chat. What if No. 2 predicts that he may be investigated and killed, so he takes the lead in defeating his wolf teammates to establish his identity?"
"To be honest, if it were me, I would probably do this. There is no harm in the police nodding a little bit at the wolf teammate. It's not really about beating him to death, not to mention that it can also be used as an identity, so why bother? No."
"The wolf pit I am currently ordering is 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, five into four. Among them, 2, 4, and 6 are the three fixed wolves, and another wolf is opened among 5 and 7, which is located outside. It’s all gone.”
"Unless both 5 and 7 can prove their identities, then Player No. 12 will be trapped by the golden wolf, because he has been helping Player No. 6 to incite the police since he was a police officer, and his subordinates are still standing by 6, and the gangster's face is not No smaller than 5 or 7."
"But there is no way. I think one of the 5 and 7 has to be a wolf, so I can't reach 12. Otherwise, 12 will also have to fall into the wolf pit."
It can be heard that player No. 8 is very hostile to Gu Feng and player No. 7, and even did not hesitate to let go of 12 games to kill one of them.
But to be honest, judging from his speech and behavior, player No. 1 on the 8 side should give priority to 12, who is a wolf. After all, the 12 policemen are helping to incite No. 6. He is too much like a charging wolf. .
I guess Player No. 8 also knows this, but he just wants to find a wolf between Gu Feng and Player No. 7, which is a bit crazy.
It can be seen that 8 is not a very rational person and is easily angered. After being angered, his emotions become stronger than logic.
This is a common problem among many werewolf players. Personal subjective consciousness will suppress logic, which ultimately leads to hitting the wrong person, standing on the wrong side, and losing the game.
"Who will come out in this round today? Player No. 4 must come out first. I stand on side 1 and return to side 1. But the order of players is still important. 4 must go before 2, and tomorrow will be 2. of rounds."
"Well, that's it. After holding it in for so long, I finally finished talking about everything I wanted to talk about."
"Finally, I would like to emphasize again that player No. 3 is the Iron Witch. If he is a good person, put his ticket on No. 4 instead of No. 2. After all, no one can guarantee that No. 1 must be a prophet, right?"
Player No. 8 is quite interesting. He said with a very firm tone that standing on the sidelines to fight 1 against 6 is a strong jump. However, he also said that 1 is not necessarily a prophet. This gives people a very contradictory feeling.
But in fact, such conflicts are normal. A good person who closes his eyes will inevitably have a little doubt no matter how firmly he stands.
After all, don’t be afraid of ten thousand, just be afraid of the worst, and this is why 8 has to play player No. 4 first.
[Player No. 7 please speak]
"First of all, let me say that I am not a witch. After listening to the speeches in this round, no one jumped to the witch to get player 4. That 3 should be the witch. Otherwise, the witch would have jumped out and looked at the player."
"Player No. 3 is a witch, so Player No. 4 must not be able to take the good guy card. No matter how he talks, even if he talks about a flower, it cannot change the fact that the witch poisoned him but did not kill him."
"On the first night, the Eclipse Wolf Concubine will only use skills for herself. Only those who are used by the Eclipse Wolf Concubine's skills can not be killed by the witch, so player No. 4 is not only a wolf, but also the Eclipse Wolf Concubine. ."
"No matter who is the prophet between 1 and 6, no one jumps the witch, player 4 is always a wolf and can't escape, so today 4 must be the first to play, everyone has no objection to this, right?"
Although player No. 7 received 6's gold water, he had no intention of playing inciting votes for 6. From the first words he spoke, it was not difficult to hear that his attention was on 3 , 4 on the body.
Originally, player No. 3 said that he was a witch who took the knife, but 7 was still a little doubtful. He even felt that player 3 was a self-sword wolf, forcing the double-medicine witch to jump out.
After a round of speeches, no one on the field danced the witch, so he could only believe that 3 was the witch. He couldn't hard drive the double medicine witch because he was afraid of being knifed, so he just didn't dance, right?
This possibility definitely exists, but as a good person, you can't take advantage of this. Since no one jumps, let's treat player 3 as a witch for the time being, then player 4 is an iron wolf, and she is also the eclipse wolf concubine.
In this case, the question of who is the prophet between 1 and 6 can be put back a little bit. The most important thing is to throw 4 out first.
"Player No. 4 is a wolf, and player No. 2 must be a good person. It seems that I have no chance to rebel, so I can only stand by player No. 6."
“Some people in the front position have 2 or 4 double wolves. I can’t say it’s completely impossible, but the possibility is slim. Is 2 so powerful? Can you predict that you will receive a check and kill, and play 4 in advance? Player No. 1 gave him an identity, which is outrageous."
"I still think that there is a high probability that 2 and 4 will never meet. They cannot be two wolves. Now that player 4 is the determined wolf, player 2 must be a good person, so there is no doubt that player 1 will jump."
“Player No. 8, Player No. 9 and Player No. 11 are all trying to force the game of 2 and 4 wolves, but they are consciously ignoring the logic that 2 and 4 are most likely not to meet. This is obviously not a Good guy mentality."
"So, among the three of them, at least one wolf must be activated. Note that it is at least, maybe two wolves, and three wolves are definitely impossible, because 1 and 4 are fixed wolves, and there are only two wolves in the outside positions at most. ”
Player No. 7 actually does not know who is the prophet between No. 1 and No. 6. Judging from their speeches, both of them are prophets.
Although 7 tends to side with 6, he will not kill player 1 either.
But this was what he thought before 3 fell. When 3 jumped the witch and said that poison 4 was not poisoned, he knew that 6 should be a prophet.
Because police officer 4 is hostile to police officer 6, it means that officers 4 and 6 are unlikely to meet each other. Combined with the behavior of police officer 2 in beating 4, police officers 2 and 4 also do not want to meet each other, so police officer 2 must be a good person.
1 If a good man is thrown into a trap, can he still be able to take down a prophet? A proper jumping wolf.
After a pause, Player No. 7 said again: "The Wolf Pit I ordered now is 1, 4, 8, 9, 11, which is exactly the same as the last words of Player No. 3."
“It can be seen from the logic of the three games that all the wolf pits pointed out are correct. I suspect that he is a self-saber wolf. I think we are overthinking.”
"If the third hole card is a wolf, how can it be the same as my perspective as a good person? Only if he is a witch will he reveal the same wolf pit as me."
"Of course, if I wake up tomorrow and see Double Death, just pretend I didn't say anything, but if that's the case, I'll have to replay both Standing Side and Wolf Pit."
"After all, I used player No. 4 as a wolf as a logical basis to conclude that No. 6 is a prophet. If No. 3 is not a witch, No. 4 is a good guy."
"In this case, I have to think carefully about the problem that 1 is a prophet, and 3 is a fierce witch who madly incites votes for 6, then 3 and 6 may be two wolves."
After listening to player No. 7's speech, Gu Feng couldn't help but smile, thinking that this No. 7 idea was too simple.
Player No. 3 is a wolf, and he frantically gives incitement votes to No. 6. Are No. 3 and No. 6 two wolves? not necessarily.
In fact, from the moment Player No. 3 jumped into the witch, he knew that his identity would be exposed sooner or later.
In this case, he may choose the identity of a dirty prophet to mislead the witch.
For example, if 3 is given to the prophet, the witch will mistakenly think that 3 and 6 are two wolves. In this way, if the witch does not think much, she will most likely be tricked and side with player No. 1.
But similarly, it is not ruled out that player No. 3 will give you a counter mentality. He will bet that your witch will test his identity as a dirty prophet, so he directly incites his teammates and let the witch jump into the wolf pit. , which is entirely possible.
So, you cannot use player No. 3 to be a wolf to deduce who is the prophet and who is the strong jump. You still have to listen to the speeches of the two prophets to be reliable. Any other factors can only be used as reference and assistance. .
After all, you don’t know what the wolf is thinking.
Do you think he is giving votes to his teammates? In fact, he is helping the prophet count the tickets.
Do you think he is a dirty prophet? In fact, he was dirtying his teammates' identities.
True and false, false and true, who can guarantee that he can guess correctly what the wolf is doing every time?
Since the guess is not accurate, then the wolf's words and behavior cannot be the logical basis for a good person.
Remember this, jump out of the misunderstandings and logical obstacles given by wolves, and you will be much less likely to stand on the wrong side or click on the wrong wolf trap.
[Player No. 6 please speak]
"It's so funny. Isn't this 3 an Iron Witch? If you doubt his identity, just jump out as a witch, but you don't dare to jump, and you still want to lead the rhythm to fight 3. It's self-defeating. What is this if it's not a wolf?"
"I don't think any good person with sound logic will doubt 3's identity at this time, because no one on the field is dancing against him. If that's the case, why do you think 3 is a wolf?"
"I think player No. 3 may be able to kill himself, but at least there needs to be someone to fight against him, right?"
"If not, then 3 is a witch and 4 is a wolf. Don't say he jumps as a civilian, he jumps as a guard or a sequenced prince. My vote will be on him."
Player No. 6's tone was a little angry. He really couldn't figure out what kind of messy things the good guys were thinking in their heads.
There is actually a game where player No. 3 is a self-sword wolf. Although it is theoretically possible, before this logic can be played, someone must dance with the three pairs of witches, right?
No one is a witch, and they somehow suspect that 1 is a wolf. Isn’t this nonsense?
One thing to say, don’t say that no one dances witches with three pairs, even if there are, as long as they don’t die tomorrow, then the one who dances witches is a wolf.
As for creating a Christmas Eve, this is definitely not possible. A wolf can create a Christmas Eve with a knife, but two dead wolves cannot.
Therefore, only double death can prove that the witch must be present, not Christmas Eve.
"I originally thought that player No. 3 was a witch. After he reported his poisonous information, a good person could figure out that player No. 3 was the Eclipse Wolf Concubine, and then identify player No. 2."
"It turns out that I am still too young. There are actually many people who are betting on 2 and 4 pairs of wolves. They say that 2 can predict that they will be killed, so they play wolf teammates in advance to establish their identity."
"Good guys, if you think about it logically, it's not that 2 is in the atmosphere, it's you that are in the atmosphere."
"Sometimes, it's not a good thing for good people to think too much. It's obviously a very simple logic, but it turns out to be complicated."
"Just like the relationship between No. 2 and No. 4, it is clear that they will not meet each other according to their police reports, but some people insist on steering the identity of No. 2 and No. 4. Isn't this just looking for trouble?"
"In my opinion, there are only two kinds of people who can be so logical."
"One kind is a self-righteous good person who always feels that his logical level is relatively high. In fact, he thinks too much."
"The second type is the wolf, who drives the rhythm crazily and wants to make 2 and 4 into two wolves. Only in this way can he charge forward. Otherwise, he can only stand by me, but he doesn't want to barb. So I have to bite the bullet and have to play with 2 or 4 pairs of wolves."
Player 6 feels that he underestimated the stupidity of good people.
Not only do some people play 3 with their own wolf, but there are also so many people with 2 and 4 double wolves.
This is obviously not correct logic.
As a good person, he must think that 2 and 4 do not meet, because the behavior of player 4 at point 2 shows that he and 4 do not know each other.
It is said at 2:04 that he predicted that he was going to be killed and identified his teammates in advance. This is purely conjecture and artificially raises the level of player No. 2.
The werewolf is in this position for the purpose of charging. It is more or less stupid for a good person to do this.
"Player No. 8, I recognized you as a police officer. Although my police badge hit you, I made it very clear. I will change it, and I hope you will not be hostile to me. ”
"What's the result? You also followed the 2nd and 4th pairs of wolves and stood on the side of player No. 1. It seems that I must have mistaken you. Players No. 5 and 7 were right~IndoMTL.com~ I'm afraid you are a Wolf."
“Both 9 and 11 are on side 1, and both have 2 and 4 pairs of wolves, but they also fight each other, so there is a high probability that only one wolf will be opened among 9 and 11.”
"I will test player No. 11 tonight. If he is gold water, 9 is wolf. If he is killed, 9 can be released later."
"The wolf pits I am currently ordering are three wolves: 1, 4, and 8. If I open a wolf among 9 and 11, the outside position will not be available."
"Player No. 5 obviously doesn't meet 4, because the 4 police officer wants to enter the wolf pit at 5 o'clock as an anti-push position."
"Player No. 10 voted for me. If I can't play him, it's a barb. If he is a wolf, No. 1 will definitely get the police badge."
"Player No. 12 is playing 1 logically and is standing next to me with a strong jump. I can't just say that he is a hook on the first day, right?"
"So, the wolf pits I can order are 1, 4, 8, 9, and 11. Player No. 4 must be out today, and player 1 will be out tomorrow. That's it, that's it."