The Righteous Player(s) Chapter 27: The speech of Delicious Wind Goose
Annan turned his attention back to the live broadcast of Delicious Wind Goose.
Obviously... after just one night, the identities of the three of them have been completely exposed.
Although he has concluded based on reasoning, the key to this game is "incitement".
In other words, it is dragging people into the water.
Then their victory condition is no longer to hide their identity... but to use various means and words to persuade others to start killing people too.
But the core difficulty of this game is not the skill of speaking.
——It’s about “time”.
In each stage, there is less than five minutes of thinking time. It is impossible for ritual participants of average quality to make immediate decisions in each round - they must have some kind of "inertia".
That is to say, almost everyone will adopt the blunt reaction strategy of "remaining unchanged until a certain point is reached".
At the same time, due to the lack of time for public communication, the means of obtaining the right to speak by "using logical and sound reasoning to convince others" is almost impossible to complete.
Under such conditions, people tend to make decisions based on instinct.
On the other hand, just give them a sense of urgency.
The [switch] that determines everything will be pressed.
Annan narrowed his eyes slightly.
Whether we discuss the possibility of the other party's behavior at the logical level, or think about the rationality of the other party's behavior at the human level, there will always be errors and omissions. If you want to grasp the behavior patterns of others in advance, you must first determine the behavior strategies of the other party.
If you don’t know what the other person wants, it’s impossible to guess what the other person wants to do.
"...I just don't know when Delicious Wind Goose will notice this place."
The biggest difference between this game and the board game is that it actually causes death.
Although this is just a nightmare.
But a nightmare is an abstraction of historical records - it must be different from reality, but its prototype story must have happened at least once in reality.
"——Once the success or failure of the game determines one's life or death, everyone will adopt a relatively safe and conservative strategy when they are calm.
"——Unless you make them lose their minds first."
Longjing Tea quickly wrote in the barrage.
Although the success or failure of this game has nothing to do with whether the identity is exposed or not. But their conversation with each other on the first night would significantly reduce the credibility of their words.
Without knowing who will be voted out, passers-by will inevitably vote out the three of them first.
Because there are exactly three of them.
The game lasted for three days and four nights. Excluding the first day when nothing could be done during the day, there were exactly three rounds. This means that players can throw out exactly three people.
This is the critical equilibrium point of a dominant strategy.
As long as even four people are in contact with each other on the first day, this equilibrium may be disrupted. Since they can only throw three people, there is a possibility that one person will kill two people without being thrown out anyway.
"——After all, there are only three of you entering the game, and you didn’t talk to passers-by on the first day. This directly led to you being isolated on the second day. The most correct approach is to group up with others on the first day. The content of conversations between strangers is not important, the point is to form cliques to divide them and make them suspicious of each other."
Longjing Tea, which has quickly mastered the rules, quickly taught the delicious goose.
It's a pity that only Longjingcha started the live broadcast, otherwise Longjingcha felt that he could even operate on the third line and directly control them to complete the game.
However, considering that only Yummy Wind Goose can see his words, it may be difficult for them to have a chance to communicate... Even though Longjing Cha has guessed all the rules and tactics, he still cannot guarantee victory.
But Yummy Wind Goose’s gaze has become firm.
He already understands.
He knew what he had done wrong...
—and try to make amends.
Soon, it was Delicious Wind Goose’s turn to speak.
Dove’s previous remarks only temporarily muddied the waters. But if he can't make any reversal, the final answer will still be that three of his own party will be thrown out.
He was silent for a moment.
Slowly replied:
“——I am not a civilian.
“I claimed that I was a civilian in the first round to protect the civilians on the field from being killed.
"And my true identity...is the idol wizard."
After Delicious Feng Goose said these words, he said calmly: "If you want to vote me out now, you can, but that is meaningless. The people behind you don't need to speak anymore, because the murderer has won now. If you don’t believe it, just listen to my analysis——”
He could almost expect the surprised and uncertain expressions on others' faces.
“If I jump out this round, then I will definitely use my skills tonight, and I will be killed immediately if I am unable to defend; and if I don’t jump out for the time being, then I will definitely be voted out tomorrow.
"So for me, as long as I don't jump out, I will definitely die. That's why I exposed my identity.
"My only survival condition is that you choose not to vote me out for the time being, and I kill people immediately after nightfall and switch camps. In this way, even if I temporarily 'die', as long as the camp I belong to wins, I will There is no need to die.
"Why do I say the murderer has won?
"The conditions are very simple, as long as the person who kills me tonight is not the same person as the murderer yesterday... In that case, on the third day, two people will achieve the victory condition of 'killing two people'. And the good side can only choose to vote for the person highlighted by me. ~IndoMTL.com~ Then even if the number of murderers no longer increases, there will definitely be a winner alive to enter the fourth day. Considering this matter, the evil side The winning rate is already greater than 50% - so if you want to switch camps in time, you can only take action and get the kill on the second night.
"In this way, even on the craziest third night, we can maintain a defensive state and achieve final victory. As long as no two people kill one person at the same time, and as long as the 'winner' successfully hides his identity, it is the condition for victory - then When half of the people have killed someone, the skills of the edict wizard and the prophet wizard are no longer effective, because what they want to do is no longer to protect themselves, but to hide the 'winner'."
Delicious Wind Goose spoke out diabolical inferences in a calm voice and methodically.
Without a doubt.
——He is bullshitting.
The delicious wind goose does not know whether the eliminated people will die immediately or after the final settlement; because "at least one person survives" is their dungeon clearance condition as a player, and the conditions for others are not necessarily it is this.
He was just taking a gamble.
You will definitely die if you sit still.
But if the situation is successfully muddied, the result may not be certain.
"What if the winner is accidentally killed on the third night? It's very simple. As long as everyone kills on the third night. If the person who gets the head on the second day chooses to defend, he will be killed on the third night. There is also the possibility of being attacked and killed by multiple people at the same time on the third day.
"...In this way, the winning rates of defense and offense on the third day are the same."
——Of course, this is also nonsense.
There is no doubt that if the delicious wind goose is really a prophet wizard, then killing people on the second day and defending on the third day is the strategy with the highest probability of winning.
But after hearing this...who cares about such details?
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